July 09, 2026
We have been following the Halcon Investment SICAV (an alternative investment fund (AIF) for professional investors under Liechtenstein law in the legal form of an investment company with variable capital managed by ONE Funds AG) and its connection to AMIO Bank and Konstantin Sokolov—the man behind the newly renamed Sokolov Executive MBA Program at Chicago Booth—for some time now. The connection was first identified in 2024 by Armenian investigators from hetq.am.
By mid-2026, the annual reports for both Halcon Investment SICAV and AMIO Bank for the year ending December 31, 2025 became publicly available. They contain significant new information that we are now ready to partly analyze.
Halcon’s 2025 Report: Structural Consolidation and a Major Write-Down
The most visible change in Halcon’s 2025 annual report is structural. Of the five sub-funds that previously operated under the Halcon Investment SICAV umbrella, four — XTech Investment Fund, Arami Capital Fund, Gingolph Capital Fund, and Antarctic Investment Fund — are now marked as “in liquidation” (i.L.). Only the Halcon Innovation Fund, which stands behind MFM Global AG (subsidiary of Elguma Investment Limited)— the major shareholder of AMIO Bank — remains active. This means all remaining assets and liabilities are now concentrated in a single vehicle.
BDO (Liechtenstein) AG, a mid-tier international audit network, reported a drop in the fund’s total assets from €118.7 million at the end of 2024 to €93.7 million at the end of 2025. But the more significant disclosure concerns a post-closing adjustment. After the December 31, 2025 reporting date, the fund identified a material error in the valuation of its investment in AMIO Bank. The correction amounted to €24 million, leading to a mandatory restatement of the net asset value.
The originally reported NAV per unit of €1,650.10 was revised downward to €1,309.94, representing an 11.94% decline in the fund’s value over the course of 2025.
What Triggered the Correction: AMIO Bank’s 2025 Report
The correction in Halcon’s accounts was not an independent event. It was triggered by the 2025 financial statements of AMIO Bank itself, audited by Baker Tilly Armenia, a member of the Baker Tilly International network, one of the top eight global accounting networks.
In Note 3.4 of its report, titled “Changes in Accounting Policy and Presentation / Error correction,” the bank formally acknowledged a major retrospective error. The misstatements related to two critical areas: the fair value assessment of foreclosed properties and the calculation of expected credit losses on loans for periods prior to 2023.
The cumulative effect was substantial. As of December 31, 2023, the bank’s retained earnings were restated downward by 23.55 billion Armenian drams (approximately $58.9 million at the 31.12.2025 exchange rate of 1 USD = 399.82 AMD) — from a loss of 20.3 billion drams (approximately $50.8 million) to a loss of 43.9 billion drams (approximately $109.8 million).
The 2025 report also confirms a capital replenishment of 20 billion Armenian drams (approximately $50 million), registered by the Central Bank of Armenia in February 2025. This appears to be a move to meet regulatory capital requirements — a detail worth noting as we continue to examine the bank’s financial trajectory.
This is not a minor adjustment; it is a comprehensive rewrite of prior years’ financials. And it raises an obvious question: these are not random accounting errors. The pattern is familiar — we have seen this before. In 2021, before the change in ownership, Armbusinessbank (as AMIO Bank was then known) recorded a significant income tax refund that inflated its balance sheet and improved its apparent financial health. This accounting maneuver — effectively a bookkeeping benefit — made the bank look more attractive to prospective buyers. After the ownership changed, the benefit was reversed, and the bank had to recognize a corresponding tax expense. That previous correction, like this one, involved material adjustments to reported earnings and served to improve the bank’s valuation at a critical moment.
According to Note 16 of the bank’s 2025 financial statements, AMIO Bank exhibits a high concentration of credit risk, with AMD 159,721,076 thousand (approximately $399.5 million at the 31.12.2025 exchange rate) due from just its ten largest third-party borrowers and their related parties.
Furthermore, in Note 2 (“Business Environment”) of the AMIO Bank report, management — led by Chairman Gevorg Tarumyan — formally acknowledged external geopolitical risks. The bank stated that the U.S. and Israeli military strikes on Iran of February 28, 2026, could have consequences for Armenia’s economy and the banking sector. Given these factors, is a further decline in valuation anticipated?
A Bridge to the Next Investigation
The 2025 reports raise several questions that we will address in the upcoming articles of this series.
First, the fund’s portfolio structure has changed significantly. New non-banking investments were made to a lifestyle business hotel near Zurich Airport — a connection we first suggested in February 2026. At the same time, the fund’s management has explicitly highlighted its real estate projects in Cyprus as a core investment focus, and details have become clearer.
Second, the fund has introduced two new share classes — HIF-EUR1M and HIF-DIRECT — effective April 16, 2026. The fund also updated its Liquidity Management Tools and added a clause on Redemption in kind. These changes raise questions about the fund’s strategy and target investor base.
Third, we will examine the role of Blue Water Capital Management Limited in Halcon Innovation Fund management, the Hong Kong-based portfolio manager, and its connection to Dr. Zhe Zhang, a key figure who has repeatedly surfaced as a frontman for American businessman Konstantin Sokolov.
We will address these questions in the next articles of this series. And perhaps, as we do, we might pose a broader question to the students of Konstantin Sokolov’s Executive MBA Program in Chicago: “If the numbers change after the deal is done, were they ever real in the first place?”
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